04.07.2022 - 15:05

Use the following scenario analysis for stocks Z and Y.|Bear Market|Normal Market|Bull Market |Probability|0.2|0.5|0.3 |Stock X|-20%|18%|50% |Stock Y|-15%|20%|10% a) What are the expected rates of return for stocks X and Y? b) What are the standard dev

Question:

Use the following scenario analysis for stocks Z and Y.

Bear Market Normal Market Bull Market
Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3
Stock X -20% 18% 50%
Stock Y -15% 20% 10%

a) What are the expected rates of return for stocks X and Y?

b) What are the standard deviations of returns on stocks X and Y?

c) Assume that of your $100,000 portfolio, you invest $90,000 in stock X and $10,000 in stock Y. What is the expected return on your portfolio?

Answers (1)
  • Jewell
    April 11, 2023 в 02:15
    a) The expected rate of return for stock X is calculated as (0.2*-20%) + (0.5*18%) + (0.3*50%) = 20.4%. The expected rate of return for stock Y is calculated as (0.2*-15%) + (0.5*20%) + (0.3*10%) = 10.5%. b) The standard deviation of returns for stock X is calculated as the square root of [(0.2*(-20%-20.4%)^2 + 0.5*(18%-20.4%)^2 + 0.3*(50%-20.4%)^2)] = 28.85%. The standard deviation of returns for stock Y is calculated as the square root of [(0.2*(-15%-10.5%)^2 + 0.5*(20%-10.5%)^2 + 0.3*(10%-10.5%)^2)] = 12.35%. c) The expected return on the portfolio is calculated as (0.9*$90,000*20.4%) + (0.1*$10,000*10.5%) = $16,236.
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